2014 NFL Playoffs What to watch for in the Divisional Round
This is the season for conspiracy theories in the NFL. Baltimore linebacker was convinced, after , that the league wants some unnamed matchup -- maybe - in the AFC Championship Game, maybe - in the ? -- . against Dallas? Must have been the league's desire for .Yes, the Divisional Round -- arguably the best weekend of football each season -- will feature at Lambeau Field since they played one of the most famous games in football history 47 years ago, one that is, almost literally, frozen in time. The weather for this Sunday is forecast to be relatively temperate -- or at least in the double digits, degree-wise -- but that hasn't stopped the production of Ice Bowl II T-shirts to commemorate the occasion.And Suggs' will get a chance to interrupt what has seemed, for two months, to be the ' inevitable march to the AFC Championship Game when they that has seen Baltimore upset
Jeff Locke Jersey New England twice in the past five years. To say nothing of , who had been the last team with a losing record to qualify for the playoffs and then win a game ... until their Saturday opponents, the , . And then there's of Indianapolis' high-profile -- and highly succe sful -- succe sion plan.While three of the last four champions had to play on Wild Card Weekend, the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs confers the greatest home-field advantage of any round of postseason play acro s the four major pro sports in the United States. Home teams win a whopping 72.8 percent of games in the Divisional Round. Although, since 2010, five visiting teams have prevailed -- the 2012 , who went on to beat the in and , were one of those.In fact, the advantage of the No. 1 and 2 seeds -- the teams that get a bye in the current playoff format -- might be starting to slip. Fifteen of the 36 teams that held a top-two seed since 2005 lost in their initial playoff game. And in the last nine seasons, only two No. 1 seeds and one No. 2 have won the .With all that in mind, let's take a closer look at the four games that'll decide who will be playing on Championship Sunday:Given the history, this is probably the last matchup the were hoping for, but let's keep this in perspective. Yes, Baltimore has beaten New England in two of three tries -- -- in the playoffs at Foxborough. And yes, the are not in any way intimidated by the
Lewis Brinson Jersey ' otherwise overwhelming home-field advantage (New England's 11-1 against playoff opponents not from Baltimore since 2001). But just 17 players remain on the 53-man roster from the team that beat the in , and none of them are named Ray Lewis or Ed Reed.Worse: While the still have a very good pa s rush with and (29 sacks combined in the regular season, most by any defensive duo), a defensive coordinator (Dean Pees) who, because of his roots, knows how to disturb , and one of the league's best run defenses (), their secondary is the weakne s of the defense (). Uh-oh.Brady also has a healthy , who, by the way, did not play in that AFC title lo s two years back. The rested Gronk in Week 17, but in his last 11 games of the regular season -- during which New England went 10-1 -- the tight end averaged 6.3 receptions for 88 yards, while the team averaged 34.5 points per outing.Baltimore QB has gone 166 consecutive pa s attempts without an interception in the playoffs, but the have not had to contend with and at cornerback in Foxborough before. If -- who led all running backs in yards per carry (5.4) during the regular season, but -- cannot find running lanes, it's hard to imagine how the can score enough to keep pace with the .When these teams played in Week 8, , marking the lowest point totals for both teams this season. In the three games these teams have played with and at quarterback, Seattle has won all three, and neither team has scored more than 16 points. The have allowed an average of 8.3 points per game since Week 14, the lowest figure in the league. The have yielded 10.8 ppg in that span (second lowest).Long story short: Don't expect these two teams to light up the scoreboard Saturday night.What gives the hope that
Brad Ziegler Jersey they can win in Seattle, where the are 24-2 in the Wilson era (including playoffs)?The are 5-0 since the dawn of December, and in those games, they have averaged 197 rushing yards. leads the NFL in rushing yards since Week 13 (including the postseason). Also, Seattle allowed 11 touchdown receptions to tight ends this season, tied for third-most in the league, while the ' just posted the best regular season of his career (84 receptions for 1,008 yards and six touchdowns).That's great ... until you consider that the are allowing an average of 3.1 yards per rush since the beginning of December, and have given up just three touchdowns and 39 points over their last six games.Meanwhile, Carolina's allowed 5.0 yards per carry since the beginning of December, the most among the remaining playoff teams -- and . Furthermore, Carolina fared poorly during the regular season against top-tier competition, going 1-4-1 against teams that made the playoffs. They went 0-3 against the remaining playoff teams and were outscored 89-36. The , on the other hand, went 5-1 in the regular season against playoff teams and were 3-1 against remaining playoff teams.Still, the have a lot of history to overcome if they are to beat the and host the NFC Championship Game next week. No winner since 2005 has won a postseason game the next season -- four mi sed playoffs entirely and four lost in their first playoff game.This is the first time in NFL history a team that was 8-0 on the road in the regular season (the ) will travel to play a team that was 8-0 at home (the ) -- and the caliber of play in those regular-season games was unsurpa sed. Dallas had the league's best point differential on the road (outscoring opponents by 94 points), while Green Bay had the best point differential at home (155 points).Silver: The Toast of TitletownAaronRodgers is becoming an NFL icon, but the QB's path to greatne s hasn't been paved in gold. Michael Silver explains. Much of that is attributable to their quarterbacks. (113.2) and (112.2) were the NFL's top two QBs in pa ser rating this season. Rodgers, who did not throw an interception at Lambeau Field this season, led , while the ' offense ranked fifth.There are some X-factors to watch. Rodgers' calf injury was aggravated in the regular-season finale -- this could limit his ability to move freely outside the pocket, where he is particularly dangerous.While Ice Bowl-like conditions are not in the forecast, it is expected to be well
Jazz Chisholm Jersey below freezing for the game. Romo's winning percentage is .375 (3-5) with a pa ser rating of 86.3 (11.3 points below his career average) when the game-time temperature is below 40 degrees. Rodgers is at .733 (22-8) in such conditions with a rating of 104.7 (just 1.3 points below his average).The ' best weapon to neutralize Rodgers, though, might simply be the clock. Running back , while the , allowing 119.9 yards per game. Murray faced four run defenses that finished the season ranked in the bottom 10, and in those five games (the were counted twice), he averaged 133 yards per outing at 5.4 yards per carry. owner Jim Irsay said this week that this is how he envisioned things: finding succe s elsewhere while Indy transitioned to a younger quarterback who would also enjoy succe s, although he admitted the prosperity with has come even quicker than he imagined.Irsay also said the haven't played their best game yet and that they'd have to do just that in order to ascend to the AFC Championship Game and send Manning home. Luck and Manning have split their two regular-season showdowns over the past two years, with the elder statesman earning the latest win .Luck (40) and Manning (39) this season, but as critical as they are, there are real
Jorge Alfaro Jersey questions about both entering this game. Manning threw twice as many interceptions (six) as touchdowns (three) in his last four games after throwing 36 touchdown pa ses against nine picks in the first three months of the season. During the last four games, his completion percentage dropped more than 3 percentage points.Luck threw at least one interception in 11 of 16 regular-season games, contributing to a team turnover total (31 giveaways) that had the tied for 29th. But Luck played arguably the best game of his career in the wild-card round, completing 31 of 44 pa ses for 376 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions.The , very purposefully, have tried to balance their offense late in the season. No running back in the NFL had more rushing yards (648) or touchdowns (eight) in the final six weeks of the regular season than .Denver's offseason focus on improving the D could make the difference here. The are second in rushing defense, ninth in pa sing defense, tied for ninth in sacks and have 12 takeaways in the last five games.Follow Judy Battista on Twitter .